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BTCDataGuy
maxwellsen@nostrplebs.com
npub1v95c...5s6j
Data-loving engineer: Hooked on Bitcoin since 2018, analyzing network fundamentals with SQL. Proud dad, Node Runner and Home Miner ⚡️
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BTCDataGuy 2 weeks ago
The quantum threat to legacy P2PK and P2PKH outputs is wildly exaggerated Even assuming the absolute worst case where every single legacy UTXO is exposed It would take less than a single day to migrate 95% of the at-risk supply to safe addresses 50% of the risk sits in just 13.5k UTXOs which clears in 30 minutes 80% is in 56k UTXOs which clears in under 3 hours 95% is in 451k UTXOs which is about 18 hours of block space The network can process a full migration of the concentrated wealth effortlessly There is no crisis here image
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BTCDataGuy 3 weeks ago
Watching the geopolitical drivel around Iran is fascinating to me The fiat system is melting itself to fund another war Gold bugs thought their shiny rocks would save them but the BTC to Gold ratio just went vertical this month I'm sorry that you are getting fucked holding a literal rock but it's a free market image
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BTCDataGuy 3 weeks ago
Inflation in the physical world, aggressive deflation in the digital world, and a credit system that's quietly breaking If you don't understand why Bitcoin is exploding out of this setup, you are not paying attention When the Bitcoin gods give you a gift, you better take it Do not mess this up
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
The math is right in front of you $STRC absorbs fiat from the traditional system and stays completely flat That capital buys more Bitcoin without diluting $MSTR common shares You get all the upside while bears cry about premiums image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
The initial dip when the Iran war started wasn't a crash It was Bitcoin providing liquidity while the legacy fiat exchanges were closed Today the entire market is in full panic mode and selling off Yet Bitcoin is already higher than it was before the dip even started Bitcoin and Oil are the only green assets on your screen That should tell you everything you need to know about the fiat system image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
Monthly Update: Small & Solo Bitcoin Mining – February 2026 Edition The small & solo mining network share continued sliding in February, now sitting around ~1.6% after the drop from ~1.8% in January Hopefully we haven't seen the top for home mining hashrate yet image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
Sometimes you need a reminder of how massive MSTR is compared to every other public company on earth Most public companies are just playing with digital assets while MicroStrategy acts as a black hole Tesla sold 75% because they lacked conviction and MARA is just a byproduct of the mining cycle Saylor understands that the fiat system is a sinking ship and Bitcoin is the only lifeboat Is it even possible for anyone else to close this gap? image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
Bitcoin is being dragged down by tech/software because the market still treats the hardest money in history like tech stock AI will eventually destroy the value of software by making code infinite and cheap In a world of AI abundance, the only thing that matters is absolute digital scarcity image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
I've been using OpenClaw 🦞 since v2026.1.26 and I’m absolutely obsessed with it The time I’ve invested is now approx 127.4x greater than the time I’ve actually saved Am I doing it right?
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
The Big Three dominance is actually trending down, not up We've gone from 65% to 58% concentration in a year while the "Other" category keeps growing The centralization FUD is nothing but engagement slop
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
The Hashrate Ribbon is screaming Inefficient miners are getting purged from the network as the 30d SMA collapses below the 60d This is a gift for those who understand mathematical finality The weak hands are folding while the big players prepare for the difficulty drop image
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BTCDataGuy 1 month ago
AI is the hardware wall that makes Bitcoin inevitable We are moving from asset-light software slop to asset-heavy physical reality Billions in capex and raw minerals are the new bottleneck The edge is where the value stays, far away from centralized cloud failures Sovereign machines need a sovereign money layer Nothing stops this train
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
The Lightning mid-2025 liquidity exodus was real Net funding flow turned negative as weak hands and retail noise fled the network But look at the recovery starting late 2025 While the "Public Capacity" metric remains suppressed, the On-chain Net Flow has already pivoted to a massive breakout The capital returning to Lightning is different this time It is institutional, professional, and increasingly private Stack accordingly
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
People still argue for bigger blocks in 2026 as if they didn’t learn anything from the past If Bitcoin had scaled to 8MB blocks in 2017 with current relative utilization, the chain would be at 2.88 TB today Instead we settled for the signal at 720 GB 8MB blocks are a direct attack on sovereignty, forced bloat for no gain The math is clear, do the work or stay lost image
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
Monthly Update: Small & Solo Bitcoin Mining – January 2026 Edition The small & solo mining network share (90d SMA) continued sliding in January, now sitting around ~1.8% after the drop from ~2% in December. Monthly blocks found remained soft, similar to late 2025 levels. The chart shows this short-term weakness against the powerful multi-year upward trend since early 2023. Despite the recent pullback, the decentralization story is alive and well – more and more capable home miners are coming online. Folks upgrading from ~1.3 TH/s Bitaxe units to stronger setups like FutureBit's Apollo series (2–3 TH/s) or PowerMiningFarm's NerdQaxe++ (4.8 TH/s) keep improving their solo chances step by step. image
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
This chart is a lesson in market deception. One line offers a dopamine hit (+264.9%). The other offers a discipline test (-19.1%). Humans suffer from Action Bias. We instinctively equate "motion" with "progress." If an asset isn't moving, our survival brain assumes it’s broken or dead. But in markets, volatility is often a distraction, while stillness is where the structural work happens. Bitcoin isn't stagnant; it’s digesting. It is absorbing massive institutional shifts and ETF inflows without the fireworks. It’s a transfer of ownership from the impatient to the convicted. Chasing the vertical line feels good today. Surviving the flat line pays off for the decade. Stagnation is the gatekeeper. image
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
You run a Bitcoin node but no mining hardware yet? Want to dip your toes into mining? Over the past week, I built a simple @Umbrel ☂️ Community App Store app: Node Miner – easy CPU Bitcoin mining right on your Umbrel node! Powered by cpuminer-multi: Connect to pools (try @Public-Pool for quick feedback), set CPU percentage (10-50% recceomended to avoid system overload), monitor hashrate & stats live. CPU Mining is completely unprofitable! This was built for fun and learning! I’d love your feedback and improvement suggestions – drop them here in the replies or open an issue on GitHub!
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BTCDataGuy 2 months ago
Over the last 2 days, Bitcoin issuance dropped by ~28% to just 325 BTC (~104 blocks), falling well below the 450 BTC(144 blocks) target due to extreme winter storms in the US. Miners seem to be powering down to stabilize the energy grid. image