๐ Whale activity anomaly
Whale-tier UTXOs (>10 BTC) minted in the 12-00 UTC window of 2026-10-09: 4,608 โ above the trailing 90-day 95th percentile of 4,282. Lift vs baseline decays fast: same-day 1.37ร ยท T+3 1.18ร ยท T+7 1.10ร (n=260 fire events since 2020). The signal is coincident, not predictive โ but the shorter window catches the anomaly earlier: on average, roughly half the day's eventual move is still ahead when the alert fires. Most recent prior spikes above this threshold: 2026-09-29 (4,638 โ same-day +0.1%, T+3 +1.0%) ยท 2026-09-22 (4,910 โ same-day -0.5%, T+3 -2.5%) ยท 2026-09-19 (4,369 โ same-day +0.4%, T+3 +5.9%). BTC closed +0.2% on 2026-10-09 vs the prior day.
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