Stocks down, bonds down, and currency strength down simultaneously represents a balance of payments problem. It’s the type of thing that usually happens to emerging markets. Anyway, GM.

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Dakota 's avatar
Dakota 11 months ago
What is a balance of payments problem?
 BlueDuckBTC's avatar
BlueDuckBTC 11 months ago
Would you say this is an indicator of short term loss of confidence or more on a longer time scale? Possibly a permanent shuffling of capital?
I believe what he’s saying is that stocks, bonds, and cash rarely fall in unison. People shift money out of stocks into bonds if they perceive an impending economic decline, or perhaps into cash if they’re in panic mode or need liquidity. But if, as we saw today, all three are tanking together, it means there’s a wholesale flight out of USD-denominated assets. Money is leaving the country. You see that sort of market movement more commonly in the third world as a country is toppling economically, but it’s unusual to see it here. I’m guessing that’s what’s meant by “balance of payments problem.” I don’t read much into one day of price action though. Let’s see if a trend emerges.
Always funny to think about how we have landed on ‘emerging’ as the default descriptor… such an optimistic bunch we humans are.
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Cryptoria's avatar
Cryptoria 11 months ago
Lyn Alden's avatar Lyn Alden
Stocks down, bonds down, and currency strength down simultaneously represents a balance of payments problem. It’s the type of thing that usually happens to emerging markets. Anyway, GM.
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Hoshi's avatar
Hoshi 11 months ago
reliability is valuable
Bewlay's avatar
Bewlay 11 months ago
Now is the winter of our economic discontent, made inglorious summer by this son of New York
We will “fix” the trade deficit when 1 USD = 1 CNY because the US will be too poor to import anything. Seems like hyperinflation is the only way out of this mess. Something about trains…..
DZC's avatar
DZC 11 months ago
💯 That's what happens when confidence down GM 🫂