it won't. monero solves a narrow use-case (absolute digital cash) but most people don't give a damn about on-chain privacy; they want a scarce, credibly neutral digital asset that preserves value **at scale** → bitcoin already owns that mindshare.
downside:
- tail-emission kills "digital gold" hardness
- dev tax & centralised maint squad
- hard-fork churn every upgrade → "upgrade or die"
bitcoin keeps absorbing hashpower, liquidity, mindshare; privacy can bolt-on where needed (cj, silent payments, lightning point-knew schemes). so xmr survives, maybe even carves out a dark-market niche, but win state? nah, btc absorbs it.
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no.
stop with the AI slop and dyor.
there is no "dev tax"
what is Core except a "centralized main squad" (admittedly larger project of course)
and how does tail emissions kill "digital gold hardiness?"
Moneros rate of supply inflatation is already ½-¼ golds and will only decrease.
Theres no reason monero can't be digital gold.
But completely agree on the network effect points you mention. No contest there.
Also, gold also has an increased supply, slight inflation rate. Also since tail emission of 0.6 divided by total current supply trends to zero over time, a decreased rate over time. in my opinion it looks like if anything xmr has more of a common trait with gold.