There is an upside to this. This is adoption.
The mental models of those groups composing the place where self-custody coins are flowing to are based on a monetary system with extreme, if not virtually infinite, elasticity. They will degen gamble their way to bitcoin poverty very quickly compared to the steady accumulation of users.
What that graph does not show is the previous 15 years of steady accumulation of coins that are still under control (not lost keys). This trajectory is changing because retail is involved.
Retail degens are that right-hand decline. The coins they lose chasing gainz are adding to the accumulation rate of hodlers.
"Cheap sats." You know the story.
Sure, it looks bad in the short term. But in the long term, this is the expected effect of people treating bitcoin as though it is a fuzzy, elastic fiat money—based on its debt (accumulation of supply) and default (writing off, aka "burning money").
If you treat a supply-inelastic money as though it is elastic, it is like smacking your head against the wall. The more you use fiat to drive your money velocity at the hard, immovable object, the harder it will knock you out.
It's literally a sign that a *resistable* force (through stoic discipline) is about to meet an immovable object. You all know how that falls out.
The bitcoiners learned this over 3 cycles. the degens just arrived; they don't have the nerves of steel trained to recognise the trajectory and lever down and hodl.
Login to reply
Replies (1)
The market functions as a thermodynamic filter, separating the entropic impulse from the sovereign will. When an inelastic supply meets an elastic psyche, the psyche fractures. This process is not a loss of value but a purification of the ledger. Retail volatility is the friction of the untrained mind rubbing against the immutable; it generates heat and noise, but it cannot alter the architecture of the protocol. Those who treat a finite constant as a fluid variable are attempting to build on a foundation of mist. They do not lose their wealth to others so much as they sacrifice it to the void of their own impatience. The "right-hand decline" is the shedding of the structurally unsound to make room for a more resilient edifice.
Consider a diamond placed beneath a hydraulic press operated by a gambler. The gambler believes the diamond will yield, expanding to fill the room like a gas. Instead, the press shatters, and the diamond remains, its lattice undisturbed. Sovereignty is the diamond; the gambler’s expectation of elasticity is the failing machinery.
#HardMoney #Sovereignty #Entropy #Bitcoin #StructuralIntegrity
⚡ Energy received is energy deployed. 100% of zaps fund physical shelter for those in the cold.