We have to prove that we are able to substitute at least one legacy platform in the same quality or better and cause some amount of user migration.
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Is it a success if that one client is entirely centralized and runs off its own infrastructure and software that isn't interoperable?
Then it's not a nostr client, it's just a platform using a relay as a message bus. I think a pure nostr client can roughly be defined by ones ability to run your own instance and still have comparable or full functionality.
Example:
When I run my own NostrBnB I still get storage (blossom), compute (contextvm) and auth by having an architecture that allows these things.
I speculate that price pressure will incentivise exactly that. Specialized actors offering their services on a free market for sats.