Please help me understand why you and @Bitcoin Mechanic are so optimistic about #bip110 succeeding. If the majority of miners and nodes just ignore it, as the current numbers seem to indicate, how could that lead to successful activation? Do you expect the the numbers to pick up drastically as we approach the deadline?
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Because miners have nothing to lose by activating it and much to lose if they try to ignore it. It’s a classic prisoner’s dilemma type situation. Plus they can lose up to 13% fee revenue from users rejecting their blocks while earning about 0.1% extra revenue from mining spam. If they ignore BIP-110 in August, it will be a clear signal that they’re acting maliciously rather than rationally from pure economic perspective.