It seems to me that Coinbase alone could decide to make a URSF defacto "popular" whenever they wanted to - and the majoriry of miners would almost be certain to follow. It would be at that point that BIP110 users and miners - presumably still in the minority - would have to choose whether or not to continue on with the new coin they have created. I would be shocked if more than a handful of BIP110 supporters (especially any would-be miners) would be willing to die on that hill.

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PS. Short of overwheming consensus support from the community as a whole, I don't see Coinbase (or any other regulated entities) being particularly keen on tolerating ANY potential for a soft fork to cause signifact disruption.
It is shaping up to look like a significant disruption *unless* miners comply with BIP110. If they ignore BIP110, or if there is a popular URSF, they may lose 8% or more of their users. Right now the best way to get 0 disruption looks like for miners to, perhaps begrudgingly, start enforcing BIP110 just to keep the network united.