While I agree with the "1 BTC = 1 BTC" message, it tends to oversimplify a lot.
There are probably less than 1,000 people in the world who think like that.
If we're being realists, BTC's fiat price steers adoption.
I have to eventually write an article on this, but TL;DR:
- Rising fast (parabolic): pulls in retail, startups, politicians; self-custody curiosity spikes; merchant trials tick up; miners expand; headlines flood.
- Rising slowly (orderly): allocators drip into paper wrappers (ETFs, trusts, notes); retail complacent; self-custody flattens; "digital gold" narrative cements.
- Sideways/high chop: demoralizes newcomers; keeps maxi zealots only; institutions run carry/arbitrage, not usage.
- Sharp crashes: drive capitulation; justify "we need guardrails" laws; push users to custodians; kill merchant/Lightning momentum.
Goal if you're the Controllers: maintain containment corridors — enough upside to keep hope & tax receipts, enough draw-downs to prevent broad self-custody or Medium-of-Exchange habits. Price is the billboard; you want the billboard to say "speculative asset — use our rails (stablecoins/CBDCs) for payments".
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As it turns out, value is subjective.
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