Why haven’t bitcoin native prediction markets taken off on nostr?
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Predyx is taking off. What do you want them to work on?


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@Rob@primal.net undisciplined is right. Predyx is really good
Someone needs to build it.
Sir we can barely render a timeline still
Let me set up my own markets, nostr integration so I can set up the oracles across npubs and let me place a position via zapping
This but also is there a good public escrow service for wagers? Seems like a solid application to launch on NOSTR
Gambling is high time preference?
i think...rug-pull risk is high. In nostr data is highly transparent but logic is not, moreover mutable.
Because we aren't degens?
Can you distribute stakes only by bitcoin script?
The open secret guys demonstrated how oracles work on nostr nearly a year ago. So this is false.
Unneeded
Mutiny /open secret guys did a POC on this around a year ago. Would take minimal work to do prediction markets on top of that protocol.
Because casinos and sports betting are so radically unpopular, right…
wow i didn't know. where is the project?
You'll have to search for it @mutiny is defunct for @OpenSecret
You don't need escrow to achieve what is being discussed
Are you working on such a solution. If so cool, otherwise, why so cryptic.
I commented elsewhere I this post that the oracle solution was solved on nostr like a year ago and oracles! =escrow
Looking forward to the nostr lounge. Look out for our team from bimblebit.com
- bitcoin as unit of account is niche
- bitcoin usd stables are still novel
- no oracle network
- nobody actually settles threshold dlcs
- “on nostr” is even more complicated
I don't know if there is enough demand
Nostr integration is a good start
I bet 1000 sats there will be one within the next year.
Do they exist? Did anyone make them? 🤔
Nice to meet you 😉🤝
Nice to meet you 🤝😉
Nice to meet you 🤝😉
Fedimint DLC Client plus NIP-88
We have the pieces, we just need to put them together
GitHub
GitHub - tvolk131/fedimint-dlc-client
Contribute to tvolk131/fedimint-dlc-client development by creating an account on GitHub.
GitHub
NIP-88: DLC oracle announcement/attestation event kinds by conduition · Pull Request #1681 · nostr-protocol/nips
This is meant to be a scope-reduced version of #919 to allow Discreet Log Contract (DLC) oracle announcements and attestations to be published over...
To you too my friend 🤝
I’d like to see someone have a crack at it
Indeed, the raw ingredients for so much is here in Nostr, it would be an amazing era to be investing at early stage (Nostr has more scope for business models that actually make good margins I reckon, versus the Bitcoin-only lens m)
Let’s see!