You are right but the point is that Monero bros seem to refute the fact that it can't scale either on-chain, and it will have to adopt L2s too with the same problems encountered on Bitcoin.
So eventually it's a battle of L2s with maybe here again an advantage for Monero in term of privacy but much smaller, and when come potential L3s it will be the same.
The inevitable scaling in layer for blockchain based currency make the advantage of on-chain privacy smaller and smaller as you go up the layers.
So in that context I can't see how Monero could be more than a Bitcoin side chain for spending.
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Sure, but that is a different discussion from the original topic of privacy
Yes. Monero will actually enable L2s with the FCMP upgrade coming out later this year. I'm sure there will be a Lightning-like L2 on Monero at some point, but unlike Bitcoin it isn't necessary to use for privacy. Monero also does away with the privacy issues of going back on/off chain.
Also, L2s don't necessarily mean Lightning either. Could potentially go down a different path and do some kind of ZK-rollup, CSV, etc.
https://github.com/monero-project/research-lab/issues/116