I will say that I don't expect a "down from here" type scenario. I expect an up trend to begin later this year, just that I expect no new ATH this cycle. Basically, a long term bear began in October. And you've already heard me say this, I think MicroStrategy is going to be this cycle's FTX, and I expect that to begin in the next few weeks. All the indicators that I use to confirm this are no spike in transaction fees this cycle, lackluster alpha compared to the past cycles, a failure of the stock to flow model as well as the power law model, dipping below previous ATH the last 2 cycles, and breaking ATH before halving this past time. I think all the shitcoin degens are bitcoiners this time, which is also an indicator. They think ngu forever, they always think that and they're always wrong. They bought buttpoopcoin last time, they heard smarter people saying "just buy bitcoin" and said "the future is now old man", then they got rekt, and instead of learning what those old guys were telling them, they took it as a magic recipe to gains, just like they always do. Now they just parrot $1M EOY or whatever they're saying these days. They'll blame bitcoin instead of themselves if I turn out to be right.