38th worst day for the s&p 500 since 1940 and yet bitcoin is $82k
stay humble and stack sats
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Replies (18)
Reassuring
Let the decoupling begin
๐ฏ๐
S&P flat since 20s in real terms
Bitcoin is only money
Great RHR today. You guys are tariff experts
feels strong

Current potential bottom is $79,741.07, with the price at $81,321.04 today we're at 1.0198 times the potential bottom. Bitcoin has not fallen below this calculated potential bottom trend line 99.9% of the time since July 1st 2013 with a few exceptions of things for which we need to account and adjust.
This is after adjusting for the 2 large macro events that actually shifted the overall trend line downward on the Y axis, being the COVID shutdown and the China mining ban, as well as also ignoring the temporary mid 2015 exchange glitch that crashed the price for a few months but did not change the trajectory as it's resumed it's course after.
I know this sounds a lot like "it works perfectly! Except when it doesn't", but my personal view is that this simply means the growth rate of Bitcoin cannot be stopped, it can only be delayed. We cannot predict the future considering the unknown macro events that may very well shift the trend down again and delay it further, but I do know what is most likely to happen if macro events like that don't occur based on the historical data.
By April 5th we will have a potential bottom of $80k, with a strong possibility that we'll never go below that again.
By the end of 2028 we will likely see a potential bottom (unlikely to go lower) of $1,000,000 per coin regardless of the current temporary bubble that may touch that price briefly this year before correcting back to the overall trend line about a year later Q4 2026.


We hit bottom yesterday, hitting 1.007 times my calculated bottom of the trendline. Save this post for future reference, without a major unforseen global macro event that lowers the trend's position on the Y axis, on the path to a sustainable $1,000,000 #Bitcoin we will never drop below the following prices after the corresponding dates:
Today - $76k
04/05/2025 - $80k
06/02/2025 - $90k
07/23/2025 - $100k
10/20/2025 - $120k
02/07/2026 - $150k
06/27/2026 - $200k
10/15/2026 - $250k
(This cycle's Bear bottom)
01/12/2027 - $300k
03/28/2027 - $350k
06/02/2027 - $400k
07/29/2027 - $450k
09/19/2027 - $500k
12/17/2027 - $600k
03/01/2028 - $700k
05/06/2028 - $800k
07/02/2028 - $900k
08/23/2028 - $1m
We may hit $1m this year briefly, but it won't be sustainable and we will return to the overall trendline.
โฎ๏ธ๐งกโฟ
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Yes sir all day everyday ๐ซก๐งก
My exact same thought today
Just stay busy and ignore all the FUD.
Keep stacking and enjoy the fact that Bitcoin has no tariffs, and 1 BTC still equals 1 BTC. ๐ค
It is just dropping free fall. ๐
wonder what bitcoin would be in a parallel universe where the only difference was trump didn't impose the largest tax increase on US consumers in history
I imagine we would be well over 150k now
I was pretty surprised to see the corn above $80k after seeing the nasdaq down like 5% midday yesterday
Much wow
I love it when sats go on sale
Stack sats and go fuck yourself
