38th worst day for the s&p 500 since 1940 and yet bitcoin is $82k stay humble and stack sats

Replies (18)

John's avatar
John 1 year ago
Great RHR today. You guys are tariff experts
Current potential bottom is $79,741.07, with the price at $81,321.04 today we're at 1.0198 times the potential bottom. Bitcoin has not fallen below this calculated potential bottom trend line 99.9% of the time since July 1st 2013 with a few exceptions of things for which we need to account and adjust. This is after adjusting for the 2 large macro events that actually shifted the overall trend line downward on the Y axis, being the COVID shutdown and the China mining ban, as well as also ignoring the temporary mid 2015 exchange glitch that crashed the price for a few months but did not change the trajectory as it's resumed it's course after. I know this sounds a lot like "it works perfectly! Except when it doesn't", but my personal view is that this simply means the growth rate of Bitcoin cannot be stopped, it can only be delayed. We cannot predict the future considering the unknown macro events that may very well shift the trend down again and delay it further, but I do know what is most likely to happen if macro events like that don't occur based on the historical data. By April 5th we will have a potential bottom of $80k, with a strong possibility that we'll never go below that again. By the end of 2028 we will likely see a potential bottom (unlikely to go lower) of $1,000,000 per coin regardless of the current temporary bubble that may touch that price briefly this year before correcting back to the overall trend line about a year later Q4 2026.
TheBitcoinBattery's avatar TheBitcoinBattery
We hit bottom yesterday, hitting 1.007 times my calculated bottom of the trendline. Save this post for future reference, without a major unforseen global macro event that lowers the trend's position on the Y axis, on the path to a sustainable $1,000,000 #Bitcoin we will never drop below the following prices after the corresponding dates: Today - $76k 04/05/2025 - $80k 06/02/2025 - $90k 07/23/2025 - $100k 10/20/2025 - $120k 02/07/2026 - $150k 06/27/2026 - $200k 10/15/2026 - $250k (This cycle's Bear bottom) 01/12/2027 - $300k 03/28/2027 - $350k 06/02/2027 - $400k 07/29/2027 - $450k 09/19/2027 - $500k 12/17/2027 - $600k 03/01/2028 - $700k 05/06/2028 - $800k 07/02/2028 - $900k 08/23/2028 - $1m We may hit $1m this year briefly, but it won't be sustainable and we will return to the overall trendline. โ˜ฎ๏ธ๐Ÿงกโ‚ฟ
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Just stay busy and ignore all the FUD. Keep stacking and enjoy the fact that Bitcoin has no tariffs, and 1 BTC still equals 1 BTC. ๐Ÿค™
wonder what bitcoin would be in a parallel universe where the only difference was trump didn't impose the largest tax increase on US consumers in history I imagine we would be well over 150k now
BTCandT's avatar
BTCandT 1 year ago
I love it when sats go on sale
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