These are resources that explain why it is unlikely for an inflation bug to occur in Monero, as well some other general supply concerns. View quoted note →

do they? they look more like inflation "detection" more than explanations on why it would be unlikely for it to happen in the first place

Exactly. Unfortunately, all sides tend to take things to extremes—black or white, with me or against me—and it’s impossible to have a serious, constructive conversation about these issues.